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2024-12-13 04:40:37

Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.South Korean Finance Minister and US Treasury Secretary Yellen confirmed that they will work closely together.


South Korean Finance Minister and US Treasury Secretary Yellen confirmed that they will work closely together.South Korea's exports increased by 12.4% and imports increased by 11.6% from December 1 to 10. South Korea's chip exports increased by 43% year-on-year from December 1 to 10.Guotai Junan's annual strategy for innovative drugs in 2025: innovative pharmaceutical companies have accelerated into the harvest period, and the valuation has been at a historical low in the past five years. Guotai Junan said that the centralized purchasing policy has become stable, mature and normalized, and the marginal impact has weakened. Innovative drugs have gained policy inclination in the medical insurance negotiation. In the past two years, the policy has continued to promote pharmaceutical innovation, and the top-level design and local supporting chain support the development of innovative drugs. Commercial insurance is expected to bring new growth momentum to China's pharmaceutical market, and the overall industry trend is upward. At present, the trend of innovative drug industry is improving, the supply continues to accelerate, and a number of domestic innovative drugs are approved soon, which is expected to drive a new round of heavy volume. At the same time, the commercialization has achieved remarkable results and has occupied a dominant position in some sub-sectors. Pharma's performance continued to differentiate, and innovative drugs and just-needed drugs performed well. Biotech commercialization continues to increase, per capita yield continues to increase, the node of turning losses is approaching, and innovation ushers in the harvest period. Horizontal comparison: compared with overseas peers, the overall valuation of domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies is in a historically low range; Vertical comparison: the valuation of SW- pharmaceutical biology and SW- chemical preparations is at a historical low in the past five years, and it is expected that the valuation of subsequent sectors will pick up.


Huatai Securities: The expected recovery and fundamental stabilization of the real estate market are expected to accelerate under the policy blessing. Huatai Securities Research Report said that on December 9, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting, stressing that it would "implement more active and promising macro policies" and pointed out that it would "stabilize the property market and stock market". Since the end of September, continuous favorable policies have supported fundamental improvement. The central government reiterated its support for real estate at key meetings, which means that there may be more room for policy support next year, and a more relaxed environment is expected to consolidate this improvement trend. The expected repair and fundamental stabilization of the real estate market are expected to accelerate under the blessing of policies. In the follow-up, we should still pay attention to the sustainability of market volume and price recovery and the progress of macro-support policies, purchasing and storage, urban village reconstruction and other policies. Before confirming the bottom of the market, we are more optimistic about housing enterprises with more resources and stable operation in core cities; At the same time, property management companies with resilient performance and stable cash flow are also expected to benefit from the market's stabilization.13 shares registered today, Hengxuan Technology, Xiamen Bank and Deshi shares have the strongest dividends. According to the statistics of the equity distribution plan of listed companies, 13 A shares registered today. Among them, 13 shares intend to pay dividends. In terms of dividends, 13 stocks paid dividends in date of record on December 11th. Hengxuan Technology, Xiamen Bank and Deshi Co., Ltd. have the strongest dividends, with dividends of 7.60 yuan for every 10 shares, 1.5 yuan and 1.2 yuan respectively. In addition, there are 5 shares that have thrown out dividend payout plans, among which Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Taotao Auto Industry and Hite Bio have the strongest dividend payout, with dividends of 12.3 yuan for every 10 shares, 5 yuan and 1.3 yuan respectively.NVIDIA's market value evaporated by 660 billion yuan overnight. On December 10th, local time, the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.25% and the S&P 500 index down 0.30%. Among them, NVIDIA fell by 2.69%, and its market value evaporated by 91.593 billion US dollars (about 664.047 billion yuan) overnight.

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